LAboratory of Mathematical Parallel Systems

Statistical modeling scorpion stings using climate variables

    Dr. Schehrazad Selmane
    University of Sciences and Technology Houari Boumediene, Algeria
    Wednesday, August 28, 2013 - 1:00pm to 2:00pm
    N532 Ross

    Scorpionism is an actual public health problem in many tropical and subtropical regions of the world, especially in North Africa, Latin America, India, and the Middle East, due to suitable climate and environmental conditions for these arthropods. In Algeria and due to its geographical location, its climate and its socio-economic structure, scorpions are common and scorpion envenomation represents a real public health problem. A total of 815,217 scorpion sting cases and 1870 deaths were recorded by health services between 1991 and 2010. Through this work, we combined geographic entities (represented by the 48 provinces of Algeria) in regions with similar characteristics to represent the geographical distribution of scorpion stings, and this by taking into consideration the climate variables assumed to be of a great influence on the scorpion activity. We also present a research study on the significance of climatological variables to predict the incidence of scorpion stings in humans in Ouargla’s province. The results of the study could be used to help determine the appropriate number of antivenom vials necessary given appropriate climatological information.