LAboratory of Mathematical Parallel Systems

COVID-19

    Predictive Modeling and Forecasting of COVID-19 Epidemic in Toronto, Ontario and Canada

     Presended by CDM modeling team, York University

    This is a data driven predictive modeling and forecasting of the COVID-19 transmission in Canada. The control and mitigation strategies, public health resources were quantified in the modeling. The foreast results are updated weekly on Monday. 

    Forecast for Toronto for the week of June 14, 2020

    COVID-19 forecast for Toronto

    Figure 1: Data fitting and short forecast for confirmed cases and death of COVID-19 in Toronto, Ontario till June 21. Circles and stars represent real data; solid curves depict model fits. Red color represents the number of infection and black color represents number of death.

    Forecast of Ontario

    Forecast for Ontario

    Figure 2: Data fitting and short forecast for confirmed cases and death of COVID-19 in Ontario till June 21. Circles and stars represent real data; solid curves depict model fits. Red color represents the number of infection and black color represents number of death.

     

    * Forecast of Canada in next week

    forecast for Canada

    Figure 3: Data fitting and short forecast for confirmed cases and death of COVID-19 in Canada till June 21. Circles and stars represent real data; solid curves depict model fits. Red color represents the number of infection and black color represents number of death.

    COVID-19,Canada

    CDM COVID-19 modeling team, York University

    Members: Pei Yuan, Juan Li, Tingting Zheng, Qi Li, Elena Aruffo, Yi Tan, Ziwang Deng, Jummy Funke David, Jane Heffernan, Jude Kong, Jacques Belair, Huaiping Zhu.

    Contact: Huaiping Zhu (Huaiping@mathstat.yorku.ca, CDM, York University)